The title of this post is a humble salutation to The Princess Bride. Apologies to all of you who didn't get the reference and thought I was attempting to imply something about President Bush's nominee for the Supreme Court. No implication was intended, although certainly I was referring to John G. Roberts, Esq.
The New York Times has quite a good
article on him. It gleans information mostly from personal anecdotes shared by those familiar with him, and the portrait of the man is very flattering. I think the fact that the NY Times, certainly a newspaper on the left side of the political spectrum, paints his picture with such praiseful strokes, indicates something about the coming confirmation hearings. Barring any prior illegal immigrant nannies, past indiscretions, or some other faux pas, I think Justice O'Connor will relinquish her chambers, seat, and influence on American life, to Justice Roberts.
I'm not going to say much about the man since I (and the rest of the legal and political world) barely know him and his record. I predict that he'll do a good job as a Supreme Court justice, not kowtowing to the right but not suddenly tacking to the left either. I somewhat suspect that he might, to the right's dismay, end up being more of a Kennedy than a Rehnquist, and certainly I do not think he's going to be a Scalia or Thomas. But since he's the right's poster boy right now (bad pun entirely intended), I'll not be the naysayer.
But I think by picking Roberts, President Bush has made one thing very clear: he's a smarter cookie than he lets on. Beneath that laid-back, charming, and perhaps even slightly dull country boy facade, is one cunning Texan poker player. With all due respect to Michael Moore (and Green Day), Bush is not the half-witted American idiot he is made out to be.
- Bush selects people based on different qualities. Seems to be that Bush is really a people person. He'll look at the resume, examine the credentials, hear the words of his wise men (and women). But he almost takes an intuitive "I know it when I see it" approach to making personnel decisions. Roberts has no record of note upon which Bush can base a prediction of future decisions. Unless the two men made some sort of blood pact in the sitting room of the Oval Office, Bush has no better idea than any other pundit out there of how Roberts will rule on a future case. I think Bush in the end made his decision based on his personal impression of Roberts qualities in their face-time. Going by the NY Times report, those qualities are certainly impressive. I've never met the guy and I already like him.
- More importantly, Bush has made an important strategic choice with Roberts. The Dems cannot filibuster Roberts. To do so would be catastrophically damaging to their reputation in the eyes of people who matter most: the middle. Extremists on both sides are already dug into their trenches and won't come out till they're dead or the war is over. But the middle can be swayed, and if a filibuster is brought out, the Dems will need Hillary to choose Arnold as a running mate in 2008, or some other deus ex machina. The Democrats have two choices: (1) refuse to confirm until they extract what are tantamount to promises from Roberts not to overturn precious and supposedly "liberal" Supreme Court decisions; (2) allow a vote on Roberts. (1) will not happen for a multiplicity of reasons. Which leaves (2). And every Republican thus far is singing Roberts' praise like a matchmaker to the skeptical parents of an eighteen year-old.
- The only way I think Roberts won't make it, short of something completely unexpected, is that more extreme Republicans get cold feet, and think that their political strength ought to allow them to bargain for a candidate more to the right. I think Bush would be an even unhappier rooster presiding over a squawking and rebellious henhouse at that point (don't ask me where my colorful imagery is coming from, I have no idea myself).
- I think Bush's choice also demonstrates one thing: he's not as far to the right as the left would have us think. I must admit, as much as I disagree with some of his decisions and policies, my respect for the man (I'm talking about Bush) has increased once again.
All rise for the honorable Justice John G. Roberts of the United States Supreme Court.